Sherman Darrenkamp — Katsu, the Wanderer — FaB-Results

Katsu, the Wanderer

Sherman Darrenkamp

Katsu, the Wanderer · Classic Constructed

27-18

Record

60.0%

Win %

6

Events

45

Rounds

58%

Meta

+5.8

Perf Δ

21.9

Surprise

19.2

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened: Minneapolis

Battle Hardened • June 16, 2024 • dropped • 2-2

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Richard McMahon (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

United States National Championship 2024

National Championship • June 14-16, 2024 • 65th • 5-3

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Dash I/O

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Nick Gabler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Nicholas Jackson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.37
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.56
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.38
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.48

Calling: Los Angeles

Calling • March 21-24, 2024 • 47th • 8-5

69%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kal Dschaak (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Mackney (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Viserai, Rune Blood

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.05
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.19
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.21
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.22
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.49
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.08
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Pro Tour • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 1-3

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Bannigan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Douglas Shima (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Dromai, Ash Artist

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.92
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Battle Hardened: Hartford

Battle Hardened • February 2-4, 2024 • 13th • 6-2

62%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.9

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Morris (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew VanPatten (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Addison Hudson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Justin Rowland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Bravo, Showstopper

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Edward Knight (Bravo, Showstopper)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.08
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.22
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.47
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Pro Tour: Baltimore

Pro Tour • April 28-30, 2023 • 110th • 5-3

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

6.0

Diff

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Lexi, Livewire

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire)

Lexi, Livewire

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Lexi, Livewire)

Dromai, Ash Artist

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Briar, Warden of Thorns

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Elly Bird (Briar, Warden of Thorns)

Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Vore (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Iyslander, Stormbind

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind)

Dorinthea Ironsong

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.33
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R11	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.43
R13	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.62
R14	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.53

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	D	Win%	Matches
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	2	4	0	33%	6
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	2	3	0	40%	5
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	2	2	0	50%	4
Kano, Dracai of Aether	3	0	0	100%	3
Katsu, the Wanderer	2	1	0	67%	3
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	3	0	0	100%	3
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	3	0	0	100%	3
Dromai, Ash Artist	0	2	0	0%	2
Lexi, Livewire	1	1	0	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	2	0	0	100%	2
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	1	1	0	50%	2
Bravo, Showstopper	0	1	0	0%	1
Briar, Warden of Thorns	0	1	0	0%	1
Dash I/O	0	1	0	0%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	1	0	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	0	100%	1
Iyslander, Stormbind	1	0	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	1	0	0	100%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0	0%	1
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	1	0	0	100%	1
Viserai, Rune Blood	1	0	0	100%	1