Abigail Welday — Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Abigail Welday

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence · Classic Constructed

17-9

Record

65.4%

Win %

Events

Rounds

77%

Meta

+3.1

Perf Δ

12.2

Surprise

6.6

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Battle Hardened Chicago United States '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Battle Hardened Chicago 2025

Battle Hardened • September 6th, 2025 • 3rd • 8-2

90%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wes Schaff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Franche Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.31
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.20
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.63
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.73
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Battle Hardened: Kansas City 2025

Battle Hardened • August 17th, 2025 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Calling: Kansas City 2025

Calling • August 16-17th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paul White (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.24
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.28
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025

Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • dropped • 3-2

40%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emilio Lopez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.35
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	2	2	50%	4
Kassai of the Golden Sand	2	1	67%	3
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	1	50%	2
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	0	2	0%	2
Dorinthea Ironsong	2	0	100%	2
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	2	0	100%	2
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	100%	1
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	1	0	100%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	0	100%	1