Luke Manship — Nuu, Alluring Desire
Nuu, Alluring Desire · Classic Constructed
21-17-2
Record
52.5%
Win %
6
Events
40
Rounds
70%
Meta
-0.1
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Battle Hardened • June 8th, 2025 • dropped • 5-3
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Lawton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dexter Canright (Arakni, Marionette)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Elsey (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • February 8, 2025 • 33rd • 4-3
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong)
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Axton Amentler (Viserai, Rune Blood)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs jordan johnson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • dropped • 3-2-2
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juan Flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Andy Lindstrom (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Aurora, Shooting Star)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dion Orcutt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • June 16, 2024 • dropped • 2-3
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Tague (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tristan Pisani-Blair (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
National Championship • June 14-16, 2024 • 90th • 5-3
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shane Ginter (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 3 | 2 | 0 | 60% | 5 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 80% | 5 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 4 |
| Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 3 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
| Arakni, Marionette | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 2 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kano, Dracai of Aether | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 |
| Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |