Nathaniel Snyder — Lexi, Livewire

Nathaniel Snyder

Lexi, Livewire · Classic Constructed

6-6

Record

50.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf Δ

6.7

Surprise

3.2

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Las Vegas

Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • dropped • 3-2

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Justin Kinison (Lexi, Livewire)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Arthur Campbell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Perlewitz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.36
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.31
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 1-2

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Levy (Iyslander, Stormbind)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Calling - Pro Tour: Baltimore

Calling • April 28-30, 2023 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Ray (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Meacher (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Wolfe (Dromai, Ash Artist)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	1	50%	2
Dromai, Ash Artist	0	2	0%	2
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	0	2	0%	2
Lexi, Livewire	2	0	100%	2
Uzuri, Switchblade	2	0	100%	2
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	0	1	0%	1
Iyslander, Stormbind	1	0	100%	1