Nathaniel Snyder

Kano, Dracai of Aether · Classic Constructed

9-8

Record

52.9%

Win %

Events

Rounds

82%

Meta

+0.1

Perf Δ

7.8

Surprise

6.0

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rogue Theory (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Bader (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tristan Kilper (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.34

Battle Hardened: Minneapolis

Battle Hardened • June 16, 2024 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Schutter (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

United States National Championship 2024

National Championship • June 14-16, 2024 • 103rd • 5-3

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Devin Rattenni (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dan Mui (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matt Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Suchomel (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs William Pearlman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.41
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.43

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	2	2	50%	4
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	2	1	67%	3
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	1	50%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	2	0%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	100%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	1	0	100%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	0	100%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	0	1	0%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	0	1	0%	1