Sebastiano Cavallo

Katsu, the Wanderer · Classic Constructed

17-12

Record

58.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

48%

Meta

+4.0

Perf Δ

14.7

Surprise

12.5

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Memphis 2026

Calling • March 21st-22nd, 2026 • dropped • 4-3

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.59
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.99
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Calling: Columbus 2026

Calling • January 17th-18th, 2026 • dropped • 4-3

43%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Isaak Krut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Paris (Arakni, Marionette)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nick Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.04
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.67
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Battle Hardened: Atlanta 2026

Battle Hardened • January 9th-11th, 2026 • 12th • 5-2

43%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mikey Kell (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evan Brook (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs jeffrey nelson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Martinez (Pleiades, Superstar)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.85
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Pro Tour • March 21-24, 2024 • 149th • 4-4

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Katsu, the Wanderer)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.80	3.17
R12	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R13	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.99
R14	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	2	2	50%	4
Arakni, Marionette	2	0	100%	2
Dromai, Ash Artist	0	2	0%	2
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	1	50%	2
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	2	0	100%	2
Pleiades, Superstar	1	1	50%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	0	100%	1
Dash I/O	1	0	100%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kassai of the Golden Sand	0	1	0%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	100%	1
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	0	100%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	0	1	0%	1
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	0	1	0%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	0	1	0%	1