Matthew W — Aurora, Shooting Star
Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed
5-8
Record
38.5%
Win %
2
Events
13
Rounds
85%
Meta
-1.8
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 3-5
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edgar Strogonov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 3 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 67% | 3 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Fai, Rising Rebellion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |