Laurin Niehues — Dash I/O

Laurin Niehues

Dash I/O · Classic Constructed

17-19

Record

47.2%

Win %

Events

Rounds

44%

Meta

+0.5

Perf Δ

17.7

Surprise

10.4

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Germany National Championship Germany '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2026 - Germany

National Championship • July 4th-5th, 2026 • 38th • 3-4

43%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mikey Dwyer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Jarl Vetreiði)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.68
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.13

Calling: Hamburg 2025

Calling • October 4th-5th, 2025 • dropped • 1-3

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marc-Andre Richter (Pleiades, Superstar)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marc Wollenweber (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Battle Hardened Munich 2025

Battle Hardened • September 6th, 2025 • 40th • 5-3

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Davorin Pokorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Fund (Valda, Seismic Impact)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Armin Stocker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hartmann (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Puffin, Hightail)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.70
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.09
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.67
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

National Championship 2025 - Germany: Main Event

National Championship • June 21st-22nd, 2025 • 3rd • 5-3

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Hauck (Dorinthea Ironsong)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Nica Roth (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.15
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.10
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.43
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • 148th • 3-6

11%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Caleb Lolley (Aurora, Shooting Star)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Phillip martinez (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Aurora, Shooting Star)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Coppley (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.14
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	3	4	43%	7
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	2	1	67%	3
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	3	0	100%	3
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	2	1	67%	3
Jarl Vetreiði	1	1	50%	2
Puffin, Hightail	1	1	50%	2
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	0	2	0%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Marionette	1	0	100%	1
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0%	1
Dash I/O	0	1	0%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	1	0	100%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	0	1	0%	1
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	0	1	0%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	0	1	0%	1
Pleiades, Superstar	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	0	100%	1
Valda, Seismic Impact	0	1	0%	1