Nick Butcher — Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose · Classic Constructed
3-7
Record
30.0%
Win %
2
Events
10
Rounds
50%
Meta
-2.2
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
World Championship • November 14th-16th, 2025 • dropped • 1-4
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
Calling • September 27th-28th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact)
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 3 |
| Arakni, Marionette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Puffin, Hightail | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Valda, Seismic Impact | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |