Nick Butcher — Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger · Classic Constructed
16-8-1
Record
64.0%
Win %
3
Events
25
Rounds
56%
Meta
+3.2
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 5-3
38%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ays Banning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
Round 4: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Laura Wichert (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Aurora, Shooting Star)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
Calling • March 15-16, 2025 • 15th • 9-2-1
67%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Marionette)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs yuki ideue (Jarl Vetreiði)
Round 9: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 啓明 宮村 (Jarl Vetreiði)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora, Shooting Star | 3 | 2 | 0 | 60% | 5 |
 Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 3 |
| Jarl Vetreiði | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Arakni, Marionette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Nuu, Alluring Desire | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |