Aaron Shantz — Kassai of the Golden Sand

Aaron Shantz

Kassai of the Golden Sand · Classic Constructed

11-5

Record

68.8%

Win %

Events

Rounds

81%

Meta

+2.4

Perf Δ

7.2

Surprise

6.5

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Canada National Championship Canada '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2026 - Canada

National Championship • July 4th-5th, 2026 • dropped • 3-1

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raymond Kwan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emily muise (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Magri (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Calling: Columbus 2026

Calling • January 17th-18th, 2026 • dropped • 2-3

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Arakni, Marionette)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Stokes (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.70
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

National Championship 2025 - Canada

National Championship • June 21st-22nd, 2025 • 5th • 6-1

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

4.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dien Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Megan Curtis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.24
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.06
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.33
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.27
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	4	1	80%	5
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	4	0	100%	4
Dash I/O	2	0	100%	2
Arakni, Marionette	0	1	0%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	0	1	0%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	0	1	0%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	0	100%	1