Aaron Shantz — Dromai, Ash Artist
Dromai, Ash Artist · Classic Constructed
44-19
Record
69.8%
Win %
7
Events
63
Rounds
78%
Meta
+11.7
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Calling • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 5-3
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Katsu, the Wanderer)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Kano, Dracai of Aether)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Malave (Dromai, Ash Artist)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs randy lavoie (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Dromai, Ash Artist)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
Pro Tour • March 21-24, 2024 • dropped • 2-2
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emily Froese (Dromai, Ash Artist)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Derek Copp (Dorinthea Ironsong)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
Battle Hardened • February 2-4, 2024 • 20th • 6-2
62%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Mink (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs The Better Johnson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Darryl Thompson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
World Championship • November 17-19, 2023 • 3rd • 6-4
70%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafael Boog (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Iyslander, Stormbind)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Iyslander, Stormbind)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
Round 14: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
45:55
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
Calling • October 21-22, 2023 • 11th • 9-3
100%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Greg Hanson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Lexi, Livewire)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Prejean (Iyslander, Stormbind)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Broussard (Iyslander, Stormbind)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jose Garcia (Lexi, Livewire)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dromai, Ash Artist)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Elly Bird (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • 12th • 10-3
85%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Lexi, Livewire)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Sanmiguel (Briar, Warden of Thorns)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Ng (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Lexi, Livewire)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Abarca (Fai, Rising Rebellion)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Showstopper)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Elias Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shane Ginter (Lexi, Livewire)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alex Sneed (Lexi, Livewire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
Pro Tour • April 28-30, 2023 • 106th • 6-2
62%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eli Brawerman (Lexi, Livewire)
Round 11: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Calvin Holt (Bravo, Showstopper)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Trebing (Lexi, Livewire)
Round 14: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 30% | Win |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexi, Livewire | 7 | 4 | 0 | 64% | 11 |
| Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 4 | 2 | 0 | 67% | 6 |
| Dromai, Ash Artist | 2 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 6 |
| Fai, Rising Rebellion | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
| Iyslander, Stormbind | 3 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 4 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 4 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Briar, Warden of Thorns | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 | |
| Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3 |
| Bravo, Showstopper | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
 Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Dash I/O | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Dorinthea Ironsong | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kano, Dracai of Aether | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Katsu, the Wanderer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Viserai, Rune Blood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |