Daniel Rutkowski — Arakni, Marionette

Daniel Rutkowski

Arakni, Marionette · Classic Constructed

34-14

Record

70.8%

Win %

Events

Rounds

65%

Meta

+8.7

Perf Δ

22.6

Surprise

21.7

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Battle Hardened Kansas City United States '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026

Pro Tour • July 17th-19th, 2026 • 26th • 7-2

67%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zack Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs William Pistel (Dash I/O)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.07
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.50
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.60
R12	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.50
R13	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

US National Championship 2026

National Championship • June 12th-14th, 2026 • 97th • 7-2

67%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

5.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Fryar (Puffin, Hightail)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail)

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.07
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.64
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.96
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R15	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.81

World Championship: Philadelphia 2025

World Championship • November 14th-16th, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Battle Hardened: Kansas City 2025

Battle Hardened • August 17th, 2025 • 3rd • 7-2

56%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Noah Fogle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.13
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.50
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.84
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.45
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.00
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Calling: Kansas City 2025

Calling • August 16-17th, 2025 • dropped • 4-3

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Jarl Vetreiði)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Riley Lont (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

US National Championship 2025

National Championship • June 6th-8th, 2025 • 22nd • 7-2

44%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Kim (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brady Hayes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brian Kaminsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Gabriel Montes (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.15
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.26
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.59
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.02
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.90

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Arakni, Marionette	3	1	75%	4
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	1	3	25%	4
Jarl Vetreiði	3	1	75%	4
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	2	1	67%	3
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	2	33%	3
Dash I/O	3	0	100%	3
Fang, Dracai of Blades	3	0	100%	3
Kassai of the Golden Sand	2	1	67%	3
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	3	0	100%	3
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	2	33%	3
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	2	0	100%	2
Nuu, Alluring Desire	1	1	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	2	0	100%	2
Puffin, Hightail	2	0	100%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	2	0	100%	2
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	0	100%	1
Valda, Seismic Impact	1	0	100%	1