Cas Mulder — Aurora, Shooting Star

Cas Mulder

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed

28-13

Record

68.3%

Win %

Events

Rounds

98%

Meta

+6.3

Perf Δ

19.6

Surprise

14.9

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 Calling Osaka Japan '24

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • 129th • 6-3

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wesley Dong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.07
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.71

Calling: Portland 2024 - The 50th! - Classic Constructed

Calling • November 23-24, 2024 • 39th • 8-4

92%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Odin Boseth (Dash I/O)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brody Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jeremiah Justice (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jordan Long (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.05
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.17
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R11	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Calling: Osaka

Calling • November 2-3, 2024 • 3rd • 13-2

100%

Meta

+5.0

Perf

7.0

Surp

6.4

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hyeonjin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brendon Allan (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicolò Valenzano (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daryl Sham (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Correas (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Emad Kashy (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash I/O)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Mariano Lemus (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.03
R2	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.45
R9	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.55
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R13	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.91
R14	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.85
R15	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

World Championship: Osaka

World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • dropped • 1-4

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Aurora, Shooting Star	5	2	71%	7
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	4	1	80%	5
Dash I/O	3	1	75%	4
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	3	1	75%	4
Nuu, Alluring Desire	4	0	100%	4
Viserai, Rune Blood	2	2	50%	4
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	1	2	33%	3
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	0	100%	1
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	0	100%	1
Olympia, Prized Fighter	0	1	0%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	1	0	100%	1
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	0	1	0%	1