Jake mccormack — Aurora, Shooting Star

Jake mccormack

Aurora, Shooting Star · Classic Constructed

16-14

Record

53.3%

Win %

Events

Rounds

97%

Meta

+0.3

Perf Δ

14.9

Surprise

10.2

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: London

Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-3

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lotara Norris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Oliver M (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.54
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 3-2

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cynthia Boutot (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024

Battle Hardened • December 8, 2024 • dropped • 1-3

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Willis Tay (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Kuala Lumpur 2024

Calling • December 7-8, 2024 • dropped • 4-3

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dale Low (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clarence Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Keith Yong (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marco Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Stephen Hii (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bryan Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.59
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

World Championship: Osaka

World Championship • November 1-3, 2024 • 91st • 6-3

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.5

Surp

5.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Krishaal Kumar (Viserai, Rune Blood)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Uzuri, Switchblade)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Felix Gössel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Viserai, Rune Blood)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Cameron Hay (Dash I/O)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.09
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.11
R13	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R14	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R15	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.75

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	2	4	33%	6
Nuu, Alluring Desire	3	1	75%	4
Aurora, Shooting Star	2	1	67%	3
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	2	1	67%	3
Viserai, Rune Blood	1	2	33%	3
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	2	1	67%	3
Dash I/O	1	1	50%	2
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	2	0	100%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	0	1	0%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	0	1	0%	1
Uzuri, Switchblade	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	0	1	0%	1