Finlay Shepherd — Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn · Classic Constructed
17-10
Record
63.0%
Win %
3
Events
27
Rounds
67%
Meta
+4.8
Perf Δ
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Pro Tour • July 26-28, 2024 • dropped • 2-2
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
Round 1: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
Battle Hardened • February 9-11, 2024 • 2nd • 9-2
100%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kit Valentine (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs George Douglas (Kano, Dracai of Aether)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
Calling • July 29-30, 2023 • 77th • 6-6
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire)
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire)
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Viet Pham (Iyslander, Stormbind)
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Dromai, Ash Artist)
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Copeman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Lexi, Livewire)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 15% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 6 | 1 | 0 | 86% | 7 |
| Lexi, Livewire | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 3 |
| Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33% | 3 |
| Iyslander, Stormbind | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2 |
| Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Bravo, Showstopper | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Briar, Warden of Thorns | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Dromai, Ash Artist | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Kano, Dracai of Aether | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Prism, Awakener of Sol | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 | |
| Uzuri, Switchblade | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |