Thomas Yarbrough — Bravo, Showstopper

Thomas Yarbrough

Bravo, Showstopper · Classic Constructed

9-10

Record

47.4%

Win %

Events

Rounds

74%

Meta

-0.8

Perf Δ

8.5

Surprise

4.3

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023

Calling • October 21-22, 2023 • dropped • 3-4

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Trevino (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Samuels (Katsu, the Wanderer)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Lee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs JD Daclison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rob Denton (Dromai, Ash Artist)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Katsu, the Wanderer)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.61
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Calling: Las Vegas

Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • dropped • 5-3

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Thomas (Katsu, the Wanderer)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Unknown)

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Harrison Timothy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs carolina alvarado (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrick McGregor (Unknown)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Briar, Warden of Thorns)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.09
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 1-3

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Jones (Briar, Warden of Thorns)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs christian gilbert (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael King (Lexi, Livewire)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	1	2	33%	3
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	2	33%	3
Briar, Warden of Thorns	0	2	0%	2
Fai, Rising Rebellion	1	1	50%	2
Unknown	1	1	50%	2
Arakni, Huntsman	0	1	0%	1
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	0	100%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Dromai, Ash Artist	1	0	100%	1
Lexi, Livewire	1	0	100%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	1	0	100%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1