政大 板谷 — Vynnset
Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations
Showdown • April 12th, 2026 • 87th • 5-5
70%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Briar)
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Iyslander) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Ged Felipe Santos (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Tan (Ira, Crimson Haze)
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Lo (Ira, Crimson Haze)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Koki Mori (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs レオン 藤倉 (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Briar)
R10
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Riptide | 50% | Loss |
Matchup Breakdown
| Hero | W | L | D | Win% | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2 |
| Ira, Crimson Haze | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2 |
| Dromai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
 Iyslander | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Levia | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
 Oldhim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |
| Riptide | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| Verdance | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1 |