Tim McCarthy — Prism, Awakener of Sol

Tim McCarthy

Prism, Awakener of Sol · Classic Constructed

20-18

Record

52.6%

Win %

Events

Rounds

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf Δ

18.3

Surprise

11.3

Difficulty

Top 8

Top 8 United Kingdom National Championship United Kingdom '25

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Calling: Valencia 2025

Calling • November 29th-30th, 2025 • dropped • 3-4

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash I/O)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eugenio Correa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gary White (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.19
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

World Championship: Philadelphia 2025

World Championship • November 14th-16th, 2025 • 80th • 4-5

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette)

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O)

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.38
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.03
R13	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R15	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

National Championship 2025 - United Kingdom

National Championship • June 28th-29th, 2025 • 2nd • 7-2

78%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robert Catling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ed Kennan (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette)

85:15

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.07
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.65
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Win	✗	0.78	2.66
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.23
R14	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.34
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Calling: London

Calling • April 12-13, 2025 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Kelly (Aurora, Shooting Star)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Aurora, Shooting Star)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Aurora, Shooting Star)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.67
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Pro Tour: London

Pro Tour • April 11-13, 2025 • dropped • 3-2

60%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.22
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.37

Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024

Pro Tour • July 26-28, 2024 • dropped • 1-3

75%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christiano Cavallo (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty)

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	3	3	50%	6
Aurora, Shooting Star	2	2	50%	4
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	3	1	75%	4
Prism, Awakener of Sol	3	1	75%	4
Dash I/O	0	3	0%	3
Arakni, Marionette	2	0	100%	2
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	1	1	50%	2
Kano, Dracai of Aether	1	1	50%	2
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	1	1	50%	2
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	1	0	100%	1
Fang, Dracai of Blades	0	1	0%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Ira, Scarlet Revenger	1	0	100%	1
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	0	100%	1
Nuu, Alluring Desire	0	1	0%	1
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	0	1	0%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	0	1	0%	1
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	1	0	100%	1