Joseph Kaiser — Briar, Warden of Thorns

Joseph Kaiser

Briar, Warden of Thorns · Living Legend

5-6

Record

45.5%

Win %

Events

Rounds

55%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose)

70:30

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Aurora, Shooting Star)

65:35

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist)

60:40

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Baar (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light)

35:65

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow)

60:40

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Jason Chan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light)

35:65

R8 LL

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show)

35:65

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show)

60:40

R10 LL

Round 10: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R11 LL

Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.09
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.17
R4	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.25
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.73
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.45
R8	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R9	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R10	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R11	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Bravo, Star of the Show	1	2	33%	3
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	2	1	67%	3
Chane, Bound by Shadow	0	2	0%	2
Aurora, Shooting Star	1	0	100%	1
Dromai, Ash Artist	1	0	100%	1
Zen, Tamer of Purpose	0	1	0%	1