Joseph Kaiser — Dromai, Ash Artist

Joseph Kaiser

Dromai, Ash Artist · Classic Constructed

27-18

Record

60.0%

Win %

Events

Rounds

80%

Meta

+4.0

Perf Δ

21.9

Surprise

15.7

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

Pro Tour: Los Angeles

Pro Tour • March 21-24, 2024 • 65th • 4-4

88%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Barnes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Cody Williams (Dorinthea Ironsong)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.04
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.41
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.78

Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023

Calling • October 21-22, 2023 • 23rd • 8-4

83%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs BRAD ALLRED (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Iyslander, Stormbind)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Casey Dugan (Lexi, Livewire)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Bravo, Showstopper)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Showstopper)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jose Garcia (Lexi, Livewire)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire)

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.06
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.47
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R10	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R11	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.83
R12	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Las Vegas

Calling • August 26-27, 2023 • 40th • 9-4

77%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.6

Surp

4.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Pollitt (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Torren Draper (Lexi, Livewire)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Unknown)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Scott Krehbiel (Fai, Rising Rebellion)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Iyslander, Stormbind)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Rogue Theory (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Austin Somers (Dromai, Ash Artist)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Zachary Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.36
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.68
R8	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.54
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.68
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R12	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

United States National Championship

National Championship • August 25-27, 2023 • dropped • 2-2

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Solymos (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Rath (Bravo, Showstopper)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Lexi, Livewire)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mathew Zoglman-Garcia (Iyslander, Stormbind)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Pro Tour: Baltimore

Pro Tour • April 28-30, 2023 • 93rd • 4-4

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nam Vo (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Katsu, the Wanderer)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns)

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kano, Dracai of Aether)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Yongji Yang (Lexi, Livewire)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Dromai, Ash Artist)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.22
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.24
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R11	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.75

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Lexi, Livewire	7	1	88%	8
Bravo, Showstopper	3	2	60%	5
Azalea, Ace in the Hole	3	1	75%	4
Dromai, Ash Artist	3	1	75%	4
Iyslander, Stormbind	3	1	75%	4
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	1	2	33%	3
Katsu, the Wanderer	0	2	0%	2
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	1	1	50%	2
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	1	1	50%	2
Prism, Awakener of Sol	1	1	50%	2
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	1	50%	2
Briar, Warden of Thorns	1	0	100%	1
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	0	1	0%	1
Dorinthea Ironsong	0	1	0%	1
Fai, Rising Rebellion	1	0	100%	1
Kano, Dracai of Aether	0	1	0%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	1	0	100%	1
Unknown	0	1	0%	1