Alan Williams — Valda, Seismic Impact

Alan Williams

Valda, Seismic Impact · Classic Constructed

11-12

Record

47.8%

Win %

Events

Rounds

61%

Meta

-0.5

Perf Δ

9.3

Surprise

5.6

Difficulty

Tip: Click any event row to see round-by-round calculations

National Championship 2026 - United Kingdom

National Championship • July 4th-5th, 2026 • dropped • 2-2

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Sharpes (Zyggy Starlight)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Pauley (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Dash I/O) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.40
R4	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Calling: Rotterdam 2026

Calling • April 25th-26th, 2026 • dropped • 3-4

71%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs René Rosenberg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Jarl Vetreiði)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bradley Wayburne (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Robert Crone (Katsu, the Wanderer)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alain Dang (Dash I/O)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.05
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.46
R6	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.59
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Calling: Hong Kong

Calling • December 20th-21st, 2025 • dropped • 1-3

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jammy Cheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs erwin leung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dale Low (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Battle Hardened: Edinburgh 2025

Battle Hardened • November 8th, 2025 • 30th • 5-3

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stuart Ravenshear (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

95:5

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Spencer Lewis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David McAllan (Arakni, Marionette)

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thomas McCudden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.45
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.03
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.57
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Matchup Breakdown

Hero	W	L	Win%	Matches
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	2	3	40%	5
Dash I/O	3	1	75%	4
Arakni, Marionette	0	2	0%	2
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	1	0	100%	1
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	0	1	0%	1
Jarl Vetreiði	0	1	0%	1
Katsu, the Wanderer	1	0	100%	1
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	1	0	100%	1
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	1	0	100%	1
Prism, Awakener of Sol	0	1	0%	1
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	1	0	100%	1
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	0	1	0%	1
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	0	1	0%	1
Vynnset, Iron Maiden	1	0	100%	1
Zyggy Starlight	0	1	0%	1